Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000990 0.001122 0.001261 0.001418 0.001590 0.001772 0.001979
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000741 0.000919 0.001119 0.001359 0.001637 0.001949 0.002322
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000616 0.000811 0.001041 0.001328 0.001674 0.002074 0.002568
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000530 0.000738 0.000993 0.001322 0.001732 0.002219 0.002835
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000467 0.000683 0.000956 0.001322 0.001788 0.002356 0.003091
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000408 0.000627 0.000913 0.001306 0.001821 0.002462 0.003306
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000356 0.000573 0.000867 0.001282 0.001839 0.002544 0.003492
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000329 0.000552 0.000862 0.001309 0.001920 0.002709 0.003783
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000304 0.000530 0.000853 0.001330 0.001994 0.002863 0.004062
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000270 0.000491 0.000817 0.001309 0.002008 0.002938 0.004238
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000238 0.000453 0.000779 0.001283 0.002013 0.002999 0.004396
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000221 0.000436 0.000770 0.001297 0.002072 0.003133 0.004653
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000204 0.000419 0.000762 0.001313 0.002136 0.003277 0.004929
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000179 0.000385 0.000723 0.001280 0.002127 0.003320 0.005067
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000156 0.000352 0.000684 0.001244 0.002111 0.003350 0.005188
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000141 0.000333 0.000667 0.001240 0.002143 0.003448 0.005403
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000129 0.000316 0.000652 0.001239 0.002178 0.003550 0.005625
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000297 0.000630 0.001225 0.002190 0.003620 0.005802
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000102 0.000275 0.000603 0.001202 0.002189 0.003667 0.005947
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000270 0.000606 0.001227 0.002263 0.003829 0.006260
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000264 0.000605 0.001247 0.002329 0.003979 0.006558
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000246 0.000582 0.001227 0.002330 0.004030 0.006711
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000229 0.000558 0.001203 0.002322 0.004067 0.006843